Udinese vs Fiorentina

Match Overview

Udinese welcomes Fiorentina to Bluenergy Stadium for a Serie A clash that pits two mid-table sides against each other. Udinese have built a reputation for grit on home soil, while Fiorentina bring their signature attacking energy tempered by shaky defending. Expect a tight contest, as both squads navigate the pressures of league survival and occasional European distractions.

Recent Form Analysis

Udinese’s last 10 outings show a balanced but underwhelming record: 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses. At home, they’ve notched victories over Sassuolo (2-1) and Roma (1-0), though a narrow 1-0 defeat to Inter and a 1-1 stalemate with Lazio highlight their vulnerabilities. Averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded in these fixtures, players like Nicolò Zaniolo in right midfield and Adam Buksa up top give them real bite on the break.

Fiorentina mirror that inconsistency with 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses in their past 10. Away from home, results fluctuate—triumphs like 3-0 at Jagiellonia in the cup and 2-1 at Como contrast with a 2-1 loss to Napoli, plus draws against Torino (2-2) and Lazio (2-2). They score 1.8 goals per away game but leak 1.6, leaning on forwards Moise Kean and Albert Guðmundsson, with Rolando Mandragora and Nicolò Fagioli anchoring midfield. Recent European ties could leave them fatigued.

Tactical Trends

Udinese typically bunker down, absorbing pressure before launching counters—a setup that suits their home resilience. Fiorentina, by contrast, chase possession through high pressing, creating chances but exposing gaps at the back. Goals have flowed in 70% of their recent matches for both, pointing to open play where defenses struggle to hold firm.

Betting Market Selection

The Both Teams to Score market stands out here, capturing the essence of these teams’ leaky setups without overcomplicating things like outright winners or total goals. It’s a reliable lens for this fixture, given the patterns in their form.

Prediction

Both Teams to Score - Yes

Rationale

Defenses have faltered lately: Udinese shipped goals in 8 of their last 10, while Fiorentina managed clean sheets in just one of nine. On the road, Fiorentina’s games saw both sides netting in 6 of 8 recent trips, and Udinese’s home slate mirrors that with 5 of 6 delivering goals each way. Neither keeper—Padelli for the hosts or de Gea for the visitors—holds a clear upper hand, and the attacking options on display make it probable that both find the net. This edge feels sharper than moneyline or over/under bets when you crunch the numbers.

Confidence Level

78%

Disclaimer

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not guarantee outcomes. Gambling involves risk; please bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose. Seek help if needed via resources like Gambling Help Online.