Pisa vs Bologna

Match Overview

Pisa welcomes Bologna to the Arena Garibaldi in this Serie A fixture, pitting a newly promoted side against a more seasoned outfit. Pisa has found the top flight challenging, often battling to secure points at home. Bologna, with their European pedigree, enters as the stronger side, though the home crowd could inject some fight into Pisa’s performance.

Bologna’s depth and tactical nous make them the clear favorites, but underestimating Pisa’s resilience on their turf would be unwise. The match highlights the contrast between survival instincts and established quality in Italy’s top division.

Recent Form Analysis

Pisa’s last 10 outings paint a tough picture: just 1 win, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with only 8 goals scored against 18 conceded. At home, they’ve managed 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses across five games, but their defense has shipped 7 goals in those matches. Players like M’Bala Nzola up front and Juan Cuadrado in midfield offer sparks of creativity, yet the squad’s limited depth shows against higher-caliber opponents.

Bologna, meanwhile, has been more consistent over their past 10 games, securing 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses while netting 11 goals and conceding the same. On the road, they’ve picked up 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in five away fixtures, scoring 6 times. The midfield pairing of Remo Freuler and Lewis Ferguson anchors their setup, complemented by attackers Riccardo Orsolini and Jens Odgaard, though a packed schedule including European commitments might bring slight fatigue.

Tactical Trends

Pisa tends to absorb pressure and hit on the break, but their backline has been vulnerable, often leaving gaps that opponents exploit. This approach works sporadically at home but falters against teams that dictate play.

Bologna, under Vincenzo Italiano, favors possession and quick transitions, which has led to an average of 1.8 goals per game in recent matches. Their ability to control tempo through the midfield gives them an edge, turning games into ones they can manage rather than react to.

Betting Market Selection

For this matchup, the moneyline (1X2) stands out as the most straightforward option. It focuses on the outright result—home win, draw, or away win—without complicating factors like goal totals or handicaps, making it ideal for assessing team quality head-to-head.

Prediction

Bologna to Win

Rationale

Bologna’s better recent form and proven away scoring give them a clear upper hand over Pisa’s patchy home record. The midfield control from Freuler and Ferguson, paired with Orsolini’s threat, should overwhelm Pisa’s counters, especially given the hosts’ tendency to concede in key moments.

Pisa’s 20% home win rate pales against Bologna’s 40% success on the road, and without major injuries disrupting the visitors, the statistical and quality gap points firmly their way. League positions further underline Bologna as the safer pick in this Serie A clash.

Confidence Level

75%

Mandatory Disclaimer

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not guarantee outcomes. Betting involves risk; please gamble responsibly and only wager what you can afford to lose. If you have a gambling problem, seek help from a professional service.