Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC

Match Overview

Philadelphia Union welcomes New York City FC to Subaru Park for an Eastern Conference clash in Major League Soccer. These two sides have delivered mixed results lately, with Philadelphia leaning on its home advantage to shift the balance. Their most recent meeting on November 24, 2025, ended in a narrow 1-0 victory for NYCFC on the road, setting up plenty of motivation for this rematch.

Both teams enter with lineups close to full strength, as no major injuries have surfaced. Key figures like Philadelphia’s forward Mikael Uhre and NYCFC’s midfielder Maximiliano Moralez are ready to go, promising a competitive battle in the heart of the conference.

Recent Form Analysis

Philadelphia Union’s last 10 games show a pattern of W L L W W L D L W D, tallying 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses. They’ve netted 12 goals while allowing 10, which points to some bite up front but clear gaps at the back—particularly evident in their heavier defeats. At home, they’ve been reliable, picking up clean-sheet wins like 2-0 over Tampa Bay and 3-0 against Budućnost, though a 2-4 stumble to CF Montréal recently underscores the ups and downs.

New York City FC’s form over the same span reads D L L D L W D L W W, with 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses. Scoring 9 goals and conceding 14, they’ve struggled to lock things down defensively. On the road, it’s been tough sledding: think 1-1 draws against LA Galaxy and losses like 2-0 to San Jose or 2-1 at Sporting KC, with wins coming only occasionally.

Historically, Philadelphia boasts a solid home record in MLS, taking about 60% of their home points last season. NYCFC, by contrast, has managed just 30% success rate away, which could amplify the hosts’ edge here.

Tactical Trends

Philadelphia thrives on high-pressing, aggressive play when at Subaru Park, where they average 1.8 goals per outing. This style often pulls opponents into open exchanges, exploiting transitions effectively. Their defense, however, has leaked goals in seven of the last 10 matches, inviting pressure if the press falters.

NYCFC prefers possession to control games, but away from home, that approach has exposed a porous backline— they’ve shipped two or more goals in four of their last five road trips. Both squads have seen recent action without overload, so expect energy levels to hold steady, potentially leading to a fluid matchup rather than a cagey one.

Betting Market Selection

In MLS Eastern Conference tilts like this, the over/under goals line stands out as a sharp betting angle. Historical data between Philadelphia and NYCFC averages 2.7 goals per game, aligning with Subaru Park’s lively atmosphere that sees around 3.1 goals on average. Recent trends from both teams—decent scoring but shaky defending—make this market a natural fit over something like straight match odds.

Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Rationale

Philadelphia has found the net in eight of their last 10 games, while NYCFC has scored in seven, suggesting offenses that can click even on off days. Defensively, both have been vulnerable: the Union conceding in seven outings and NYCFC in nine, which often stretches matches. Head-to-head history backs this too, with four of the last five encounters surpassing 2.5 goals, even if their November 2025 meeting bucked the trend at 1-0.

The home venue tilts toward entertainment, and current form hints at a less guarded affair than that prior low-scorer. Without fatigue dragging either side down, the pieces line up for goals to flow.

Confidence Level

78%

Mandatory Disclaimer

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not guarantee outcomes. Betting involves risk; please gamble responsibly and only wager what you can afford to lose. Seek help if gambling becomes a problem.